
COMPANY DESK
SCA
SCA B · XSTOMaterials
composite
Event-driven volatility
0.35 · multi-window · 6m ago
narrative-velocity
Insufficient data
0.00 · 72h · 6m ago
market-activity
Mixed evidence
-0.01 · 5/20/60d · 6m ago
corporate-events
Event-driven volatility
1.65 · 30d · 6m ago
insider-activity
Building evidence
0.39 · 90d · 6m ago
Price & volume
SCA B · daily bars · evidence markers
TIMELINE · FULL WINDOW
Price and event windows provide context only and do not establish causation.
Market data source: Free OHLC fallback (Yahoo Finance) — unofficial Yahoo OHLC fallback (low credibility).
Company brief
AI-generated from ingested evidence only
SCA — Kraftliner price hike alongside disclosed institutional shorts; PDMR activity in evidence refers to Scandi Standard, not SCA
Over the last 14 days, SCA announced a €100/tonne increase on Kraftliner prices [event:b329a235-de31-46d0-be2d-0d9129a2c4a8, event:df8cb2a6-c31f-4f25-8d6c-45cc04a6f9c0], the dominant fundamental event in the window. Two significant net short positions were disclosed to FI on 2026-08-10: BlackRock Advisors LLC 1.08% and AQR Capital Management LLC 0.89%, summing to ~1.97% of shares [capital:shorts:e2eb6fd9-5cb4-481e-8c3d-8163ef3a1095, event:5f7ad356-c83b-4902-a53b-cd7e642a4c5f, event:66614e16-ec96-4528-8003-521dfd32bdbe]. Three PDMR buy filings also appear in the evidence window, but the extracts identify the issuer as Scandi Standard AB, not SCA [event:a3f0c83d-a146-4068-9af1-93b1ed4f620d, event:35b84bd3-1581-476b-80a5-01bba9eab102, event:94ead0d2-3ff1-4c45-91ae-f10bd37a04f3], which means the pre-computed insider-activity signal appears to be picking up an unrelated issuer and should not be read as SCA-specific insider buying.
Why it may matter: The Kraftliner price hike is a direct read on SCA's pricing power in containerboard and is the type of issuer-led event that typically drives event-driven volatility — consistent with the composite label. The FI Blankning disclosures are notable because they were just published on 2026-08-10 and cross the ≥0.5% reporting threshold for two well-known systematic/quant houses, which is a mechanism that can amplify positioning discussions even though the absolute disclosed short is modest. The PDMR caveat matters because it prevents a misread of insider sentiment — buying at Scandi Standard tells us nothing about SCA's own management conviction.
Confidence rationale: The FI Blankning and issuer IR press releases are primary, high-credibility sources (credibility 0.95–1.0) and recent (July–August 2026). The composite confidence is reduced to moderate primarily because (a) the insider-activity signal is contradicted by the explicit issuer labels in the PDMR extracts showing Scandi Standard rather than SCA, and (b) market-activity and narrative-velocity signals are mixed/insufficient, limiting the corroboration of the event-driven volatility thesis. The short-side evidence is credible but limited in scope (only ≥0.5% positions disclosed), which is a standard FI caveat.
Claims & evidence
supportingTwo significant net short positions in SCA were disclosed by BlackRock Advisors LLC (1.08%) and AQR Capital Management LLC (0.89%), aggregating to ~1.97%, as of end-July 2026 and published 2026-08-10.
- +Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
- +Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
- +Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
supportingSCA announced a €100/tonne price increase on Kraftliner products, published 2026-08-06 via Issuer IR.
- +SCA to increase Kraftliner prices by €100 per tonne· Issuer IR via MFN (press rooms)· 4d agoPublic source
- +SCA höjer priserna på Kraftliner med 100 euro per ton· Issuer IR via MFN (press rooms)· 4d agoPublic source
caveatThe disclosed short positions are net shorts above the 0.5% FI reporting threshold, not total free-float short interest; the aggregate understates the true short book.
- +Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
contradictingThe three PDMR buy filings in the evidence window are explicitly for Scandi Standard AB at SEK 138.62–140, not for SCA — the insider-activity pre-computed signal labelled 'building-evidence' therefore appears to be driven by an unrelated issuer.
- −FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
- −FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
- −FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
supportingThere were no FI flaggning (major holdings) notifications for SCA in the supplied window (notificationCount=0).
- +Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
caveatComposite signal flags event-driven-volatility (value 0.328, confidence 0.72), consistent with the issuer-led price hike as the dominant near-term catalyst; narrative-velocity is insufficient and market-activity is mixed, reducing corroboration.
- +Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
open-questionOpen question: whether any genuine SCA PDMR insider transactions occurred in the last 14 days, since the only PDMR evidence in the window is for Scandi Standard AB.
- +FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
- +FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
- +FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
contradictingThe PDMR records underpinning the insider-activity signal are purchases by Paulo Gaspar in Scandi Standard AB (906 @ 140 SEK on 2026-08-10, 1000 @ 140 SEK on 2026-08-10, and 2129 @ 138.62 SEK on 2026-07-30), not in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA. The 'building-evidence' label for SCA therefore appears misattributed to a different issuer. (severity: serious)
- −FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
- −FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
- −FI PDMR transactions export· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
contradictingDisclosed net short positions from two sophisticated holders — BlackRock Advisors LLC at 1.08% (as of 2026-07-31) and AQR Capital Management LLC at 0.89% (as of 2026-07-30) — were in place around the same window, aggregating to ~1.97% reported short exposure. The presence of disclosed shorts alongside a positive pricing announcement is a mixed signal rather than a clean positive. (severity: minor)
- −Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
- −SCA to increase Kraftliner prices by €100 per tonne· Issuer IR via MFN (press rooms)· 4d agoPublic source
- −Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
- −Source document· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
Alternative interpretations
- The €100/tonne Kraftliner increase could reflect genuine pricing power, or alternatively a pass-through of higher pulp/freight input costs rather than margin expansion — the evidence does not distinguish between these.
- The disclosed net shorts of ~1.97% are above the FI 0.5% reporting threshold but well below levels historically associated with crowded bearish bets on Swedish large-caps; the signal could be either a routine re-disclosure by systematic desks or a directional view, and the data does not settle which.
- The 'building-evidence' insider-activity pre-computed signal may simply be a data-attribution artefact where Scandi Standard transactions were pulled into the SCA feed; the alternative is that Paulo Gaspar serves on the SCA board and the filing was mis-labelled, but the extracts unambiguously say Scandi Standard AB.
Open questions
- Has SCA itself seen any PDMR/MAR insider transactions in the last 14 days, or are the only insider filings in the window the Scandi Standard ones (which would mean the insider-activity signal is misattributed)?
- What is total free-float short interest in SCA beyond the two ≥0.5% disclosed positions? The FI figure is only disclosed significant net shorts, not the full picture.
- Will the announced €100/tonne Kraftliner increase be fully realised in negotiations with key customers, and on what timeline?
- Has the board composition changed such that Paulo Gaspar could plausibly be an SCA insider, or are these purely Scandi Standard filings routed through a shared entity?
Supporting sources
- +Net short 1.08% — BlackRock Advisors LLC in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA· Finansinspektionen net short positions· undatedPublic source
- +Paulo Gaspar (Member of the Board of Directors) reported purchase of ≈ 127 tkr· Finansinspektionen PDMR register· 2h agoPublic source
- +SCA höjer priserna på Kraftliner med 100 euro per ton· Issuer IR via MFN (press rooms)· 4d agoPublic source
- +SCA to increase Kraftliner prices by €100 per tonne· Issuer IR via MFN (press rooms)· 4d agoPublic source
What changed
40 events
SCA to increase Kraftliner prices by €100 per tonne
Paulo Gaspar (Member of the Board of Directors) reported purchase of ≈ 140 tkr
Reported to FI: buy of 1000 Quantity Scandi Standard AB at 140 kr. Nature: open-market.
Paulo Gaspar (Member of the Board of Directors) reported purchase of ≈ 127 tkr
Reported to FI: buy of 906 Quantity Scandi Standard AB at 140 kr. Nature: open-market.
Net short 1.08% — BlackRock Advisors LLC in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA
BlackRock Advisors LLC reports net short 1.08% in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA.
Net short 0.89% — AQR Capital Management LLC in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA
AQR Capital Management LLC reports net short 0.89% in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA.
Paulo Gaspar (Member of the Board of Directors) reported purchase of ≈ 295 tkr
Reported to FI: buy of 2129 Quantity Scandi Standard AB at 138,62 kr. Nature: open-market.
SCA: Half-year report, Q2 2026
SCA: Halvårsrapport Q2 2026
Net short 0.60% — BlackRock Financial Management Inc in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA
BlackRock Financial Management Inc reports net short 0.60% in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA.
Net short 0.60% — Acadian Asset Management LLC in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA
Acadian Asset Management LLC reports net short 0.60% in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA.
Net short 0.60% — CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA
CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC reports net short 0.60% in Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA.
SCA uppdatera MTN-program och offentliggör prospekt
SCA updates MTN programme and publishes prospectus
Net short 0.60% — Capital Fund Management SA in Scandic Hotels Group AB
Capital Fund Management SA reports net short 0.60% in Scandic Hotels Group AB.
Capital structure (FI)
Blankning + Flaggning aggregates
Net shorts (Blankning)
Σ 4.37%
6 position(s) · 6 holder(s) · as of 2026-07-31
- BlackRock Advisors LLC1.08%
- AQR Capital Management LLC0.89%
- Acadian Asset Management LLC0.60%
- BlackRock Financial Management Inc0.60%
- CAISSE DE DEPOT ET PLACEMENT DU QUEBEC0.60%
Disclosed significant net shorts (≥0.5%), not total free-float short interest.
Major holdings (Flaggning)
No notifications in register slice.
Reported insider transactions
FI PDMR register · trend vs share-price window
PDMR TREND · 14D
Net insider buying · 562 tkr net in
562 tkr
net disclosed
- Buy Paulo Gaspar · Member of the Board of Directors562 tkr
0 sell / 3 buy print(s) from 1 unique PDMR(s) in 14d. Reported sells 0 kr, buys 562 tkr. Share price over the same 14d window: +2,2 % — buys into a rising tape. Based solely on Finansinspektionen PDMR disclosures.
- BUY140 tkr2026-08-05open-market
- BUY127 tkr2026-08-04open-market
- BUY295 tkr2026-07-29open-market
| Company | Person | Nature | Volume | Value | Date | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCA | Paulo GasparMember of the Board of Directors | Buyopen-market | 1 t | 140 tkr | 2026-08-05 | FI register |
| SCA | Paulo GasparMember of the Board of Directors | Buyopen-market | 906 | 127 tkr | 2026-08-04 | FI register |
| SCA | Paulo GasparMember of the Board of Directors | Buyopen-market | 2 t | 295 tkr | 2026-07-29 | FI register |
Announcements & filings
SCA höjer priserna på Kraftliner med 100 euro per ton
SCA to increase Kraftliner prices by €100 per tonne
SCA: Half-year report, Q2 2026
SCA: Halvårsrapport Q2 2026
SCA uppdatera MTN-program och offentliggör prospekt
SCA updates MTN programme and publishes prospectus
SCA: Ny rapport: EU-policy hotar 35 000 svenska jobb
SCA utser ny hållbarhets- och kommunikationsdirektör
SCA appoints new SVP Sustainability and Communications
SCA: Interim report, Q1 2026
SCA: Delårsrapport Q1 2026
SCA: Conversion of shares
SCA: Aktieomvandling
SCA's Annual General Meeting 2026
SCAs årsstämma 2026
SCA och Svenska Samernas Riksförbund enas om långsiktig samverkan mellan skogsbruk och rennäring
SCA and Swedish Sámi National Association agree on long-term collaboration between forestry and reindeer husbandry
Unique beetle discovery on SCA land in Västerbotten
Fynd av unik skalbagge på SCA-mark i Västerbotten
SCA höjer priset på kraftliner med 100 euro per ton.
SCA to increase kraftliner prices by € 100 per tonne
SCA's record rail volumes save over 50,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide.
SCAs rekordvolymer på räls sparar över 50 000 ton koldioxid
SCA: Nästan 31 000 hektar ny nyckelbiotop inrapporterat
SCA: Almost 31,000 hectares of new key habitats reported
Key people
- high confidence
Paulo Gaspar
Member of the Board of Directors
Themes
- Rising oil prices and downstream cost pressuresmoderate confidence
Detected via 5 evidence records
- Swedish demographic and labour-market headwindslow confidence
Detected via 3 evidence records
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